I think it would be about time for another betting pool on that… [edit: What do we use in stead of Brexit? 
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@Kyle_Rankin indicated that “mid-to-late” November would be the start for shipping them. In general there were some previous assumptions made about possible challenges by @amosbatto, which may or may not be relevant. (Btw. those would be better threads for this question at the moment)
For an individual (pre)order, @antpanlinux made a nice approximation on how fast they can be assembled, so it could be made into a formula which includes your number in queue and how many people are assembling the phones. Plus the shipping and such delays.
November does not unfortunately mean you are near the front of the queue, if this thread is to be believed.