But the good news is that the waiting is nearly over. As it said in the September update:
“We will send a separate email later in September to each of you with a firm delivery date for your Librem 5 order.”
So, just a couple more days and there will be no more need for guessing or estimating - this thread will be obsolete by the end of this week.
Hope dies last 
Time to start a new thread. “Estimate your Librem 5 email estimating your Librem 5 shipping. Title is a working progress” 
Well, technically speaking, they wrote only that they are going to send the e-mails till the end of September. We could estimate how long the emails gonna be in transit…
I like your precision 
They might have set up an internal relay system for the emails which will keep them bouncing back and forth until Purism feels ready 
Nonsense. What about that people just post here as I do now:
order date: October 9, 2017
address/modem confirmation mail: September 20, 2021
tracking number mail: September 29, 2021
arrival date: October 1, 2021
order date: October 7, 2017
address/modem confirmation mail: September 27, 2021
tracking number mail: September 29, 2021
arrival date: October 1, 2021
They still have a few thousands to go until the end of the prefund campaign. Wait and see 
I ordered on Oct 11, 2017 and haven’t received a shipping/modem email yet, hope I’m close.
Like @guru, I got the address/modem confirmation email today for my 7 Oct, 2017 order! So I’m not really adding much, but anyway…
order date: October 7, 2017
address/modem confirmation mail: September 27, 2021
tracking number mail: October 1, 2021
arrival date: October 5, 2021
Edit 1: added tracking number mail date
Edit 2: added projected delivery date
Edit 3: Actual delivery day!
Order Date: 13 Oct 2017
Preferred Shipping batch: 18 Sep 2019
Assigned Evergreen Batch: 24 Jun 2020
address/modem confirmation mail: 18 Oct 2021
tracking number mail: 25 Oct 2021
arrival date: ???
order date: October 6, 2017
address/modem confirmation mail: September 20, 2021
tracking number mail: ???
arrival date: ???
These are what we call data points 
In all seriousness, Purism’s email suggested that every customer would receive an email in Sept giving us more firm shipping estimates, not just those who are next in line in the queue. With less than 4 days left of Sept, it doesn’t look like it’s gonna happen.
Nothing’s changed really. Only thing we can do is hurry up and wait.
People are starting to post on reddit again about receiving their L5:
https://teddit.net/r/Purism/comments/pvahfu/librem_5_noob_questions/
https://teddit.net/r/Purism/comments/pvbzi2/its_been_a_3_year_wait_but_it_finally_arrived/
A common theme seems to be “How do I [do some basic function] on this thing?”
I really wonder if Purism’s documentation, or directions to find the documentation online, are adequate, if people can’t even figure out how to power down the phone. Probably more attention to getting instructional info to new owners’ is needed.
I realize there’s no way to make people read a quick start guide, though. It might help if this forum and the wikis were featured more prominently on Purism’s main site, so people know there’s help here.
Perhaps a desktop icon for Help that sorts before all the apps in the second group and which is a basic cheat-sheet?
Apart from power down, what else would it need to cover? Closing an app? Switching to another app? Opening another app?
At the end of the day, it’s what you are used to - and it takes time. The iPhone still manages to astonish me with obscurity and lack of user-friendliness after so many years.
Do let us know when the L5 actually ships and update the post. I’d like to resume the graphical chart tracking progress :).
UPDATE: Thanks for the updates everybody, I pasted in the latest chart based on your data in the first post img link here.
my order was confirmed by purism October 3, 2017
i confirmed address/modem April 30, 2021
the shipping was anounced September 17, 2021
the phone arrived September 22, 2021
How much are you betting? 
You up for wagering your place in the queue?
I’m here for the show AFAIK, you’re in the “better” queue
